Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
2 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
3 LEE JoonWon 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
3 HONG James 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
5 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
6 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
7 MICKELSON Jacob P. 100% 100% 93% 60% 19% 2%
8 PAN Tristan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
9 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
10 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
11 LOESER Jacob 100% 79% 28% 5% < 1% -
12 PAN Colin 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
13 EVANS Grant 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
14 CAVRELL Nicholas 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
15 LI Chenyu 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
16 MA Bochen 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
17 MILLER Lance W. 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
18 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
19 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
20 CIOLINO Jacob F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
21 JENSEN Daniel G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
22 ZRELAK Teig 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
23 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
24 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
25 CHITU Andreas C. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
26 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
27 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
28 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
29 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
30 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
31 DICKSON Tim 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
32 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
33 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
34 KRAJ Pawel 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
35 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
36 YANG Pengfei 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
37 PAINE Evan J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
38 HU Anton 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
39 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
40 THRASHER Andrew W. 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
40 CHEN Zhong Han 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
42 PACK Josh 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
44 BANDALA Alex 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.