Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 7%
2 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
3 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
3 HICKEY Dylan 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
5 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
6 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
7 LAKHTER Maximillian 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
8 CORAN Roland 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
9 ZENG Alex 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
10 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
11 HAN Lucia 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
12 ZHENG Lerui 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
13 IANNI Isabel 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
14 TADIPARTHI Reya 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
15 LIANG Jasmine 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
16 COLLEN Charles 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
17 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
18 BROWN Rhys 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
19 HU Sophie 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
20 MAZAHERI John 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.