Statistics Profile

Carl Rosa

1986

Salle Hinton York Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2277	1710 - 2843	2120	2277
Épée	Direct elimination	1948	1134 - 2761	1948	2277
Foil	Pool	1418	1143 - 1692	1418	2109
Foil	Direct elimination	1523	1054 - 1991	1523	2079
Saber	Pool	1459	927 - 1990	1459	1459
Saber	Direct elimination	1699	817 - 2580	1699	1699

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.