Statistics Profile

Sarah Read

1973

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1988	1746 - 2229	1969	2301
Foil	Direct elimination	2286	1826 - 2745	1724	2496
Saber	Pool	1533	460 - 2605	1533	1533
Saber	Direct elimination	2009	720 - 3297	2009	2009

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.