Statistics Profile

Aaron Cook

1992

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2075	1693 - 2456	1993	2075
Épée	Direct elimination	1866	1207 - 2524	1866	2149
Foil	Pool	1636	1233 - 2038	1563	1886
Foil	Direct elimination	2204	1705 - 2702	2204	2847
Saber	Pool	2147	1029 - 3264	2147	2147
Saber	Direct elimination	2040	733 - 3346	2040	2040

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.