Statistics Profile

Aaron Cook

1992

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2043	1687 - 2398	1993	2075
Épée	Direct elimination	2062	1500 - 2623	1866	2150
Foil	Pool	1806	1434 - 2177	1563	1886
Foil	Direct elimination	2358	1885 - 2830	2204	2847
Saber	Pool	2044	1731 - 2356	2044	2147
Saber	Direct elimination	2336	1800 - 2871	2040	2336

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.