Statistics Profile

John Hare

1998

Athens Fencing Club Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2071	1713 - 2428	2071	2182
Épée	Direct elimination	2153	1498 - 2807	2153	2494
Foil	Pool	1363	610 - 2115	1363	1363
Foil	Direct elimination	1611	419 - 2802	1611	1611
Saber	Pool	2871	2634 - 3107	2563	3264
Saber	Direct elimination	3238	2966 - 3509	2707	3342

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.