Statistics Profile

Jeremy Moore

1999

Baker County Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2955	2727 - 3182	2934	3491
Épée	Direct elimination	3397	3157 - 3636	3397	4084
Foil	Pool	2865	2653 - 3076	2854	3277
Foil	Direct elimination	3073	2847 - 3298	3073	3535
Saber	Pool	2719	2246 - 3191	2664	2877
Saber	Direct elimination	2594	1867 - 3320	2346	2594

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.