Statistics Profile

Will Golder

2003

Cape Fear Fencing Association Georgia Tech Yellow Jacket Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2524	2300 - 2747	2198	2614
Épée	Direct elimination	2717	2314 - 3119	2518	2947
Foil	Pool	2841	2131 - 3550	2841	2841
Foil	Direct elimination	2043	705 - 3380	2043	2043

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.