Statistics Profile

Aditya Jain

2007

University Of California San Diego NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2474	2299 - 2648	2474	3173
Épée	Direct elimination	2866	2639 - 3092	2453	3025
Foil	Pool	2817	2648 - 2985	2744	3216
Foil	Direct elimination	3213	3039 - 3386	2928	3388

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.