Statistics Profile

Devyn Shelton

2005

The Fencers Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1535	1310 - 1759	1371	1558
Épée	Direct elimination	1717	1205 - 2228	1341	1945
Foil	Pool	1524	1257 - 1790	1405	1661
Foil	Direct elimination	1093	464 - 1721	1016	1539

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.