Statistics Profile

Gabriel Carrier

2007

Wasatch Fencing Schoolhouse Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2957	2767 - 3146	2200	3030
Épée	Direct elimination	3366	3185 - 3546	1918	3366
Foil	Pool	2109	1804 - 2413	1866	2356
Foil	Direct elimination	2560	2154 - 2965	2473	3158

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.