Statistics Profile

Lukas McKinney

2006

Kaizen Academy LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1572	1302 - 1841	1482	2746
Épée	Direct elimination	838	131 - 1544	838	1551
Foil	Pool	1232	600 - 1863	1232	1433
Foil	Direct elimination	1415	305 - 2524	1415	1701

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.