Statistics Profile

Mary Rocca

2002

Shoreline Fencers Club Candlewood Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1159	612 - 1705	1159	1514
Foil	Direct elimination	1732	543 - 2920	1732	1979
Saber	Pool	2049	1633 - 2464	1654	2066
Saber	Direct elimination	2848	2206 - 3489	2472	2848

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.