Statistics Profile

Luke Fenwick

2001

Rogue Fencing Academy The Phoenix Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2180	2009 - 2350	2180	2609
Épée	Direct elimination	2099	1825 - 2372	2079	2567
Foil	Pool	1064	192 - 1935	1064	1064
Foil	Direct elimination	1890	775 - 3004	1890	1890

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.