Statistics Profile

Samuel Lim

2004

Memphis University School Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3420	2261 - 4578	3420	3420
Épée	Direct elimination	2558	1351 - 3764	2558	2558
Foil	Pool	2503	2234 - 2771	2503	2862
Foil	Direct elimination	2753	2351 - 3154	2146	2883

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.