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Statistics Profile

Riley Moss

2005
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1493 1297 - 1688 1296 1797
Épée Direct elimination 1658 1295 - 2020 1135 1823
Foil Pool 1302 1056 - 1547 1253 1788
Foil Direct elimination 1965 1528 - 2401 1907 2429
Saber Pool 1414 1076 - 1751 1414 2331
Saber Direct elimination 1553 689 - 2416 1291 2079

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.