Statistics Profile

Shawn Seo

2007

Las Positas Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2357	2185 - 2528	1680	2377
Épée	Direct elimination	2563	2345 - 2780	2216	2563
Foil	Pool	1662	1336 - 1987	1598	1983
Foil	Direct elimination	1644	972 - 2315	1644	2571

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.