Statistics Profile

Daniel Silva

2004

Athens Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1237	531 - 1942	1237	1237
Épée	Direct elimination	1801	481 - 3120	1801	1801
Saber	Pool	2504	2308 - 2699	2480	2906
Saber	Direct elimination	2711	2498 - 2923	2079	2874

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.