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Statistics Profile

Oscar Liu

Verified
2006
Memphis University School Fencing Team

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1873 1692 - 2053 1617 1879
Épée Direct elimination 2202 1960 - 2443 1269 2202
Foil Pool 2459 1885 - 3032 2459 2459
Foil Direct elimination 1823 1073 - 2572 1823 1823
Saber Pool 1251 700 - 1801 1251 1290
Saber Direct elimination 2815 1800 - 3829 2815 3245

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.