Statistics Profile

Kushal Patel

2007

Stanford University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2217	2048 - 2385	1659	2257
Épée	Direct elimination	2599	2408 - 2789	1464	2599
Foil	Pool	3374	2394 - 4353	3374	3374
Foil	Direct elimination	2139	1294 - 2983	2139	2139

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.