Statistics Profile

Kenny Deng

2005

University Of Michigan Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1798	1608 - 1987	1405	2032
Foil	Direct elimination	1736	1385 - 2086	1229	1866
Saber	Pool	1446	811 - 2080	1446	1583
Saber	Direct elimination	1707	761 - 2652	1707	2055

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.