Statistics Profile

Maximilian Thornton

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1720	1337 - 2102	1181	1720
Épée	Direct elimination	1822	1159 - 2484	1667	1840
Foil	Pool	1207	843 - 1570	1207	2006
Foil	Direct elimination	1749	1016 - 2481	1400	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.