Statistics Profile

Orlando Briceño

1998

Memphis University School Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2403	1987 - 2818	2337	2482
Épée	Direct elimination	2719	2245 - 3192	2719	3277
Foil	Pool	2391	1616 - 3165	2391	2391
Foil	Direct elimination	2699	1232 - 4165	2699	2699

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.