Statistics Profile

Joshua Dong

2008

Memphis University School Fencing Team

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1751	1572 - 1929	1631	1883
Épée	Direct elimination	2021	1775 - 2266	1864	2639
Foil	Pool	950	642 - 1257	950	1258
Foil	Direct elimination	792	16 - 1567	792	1176
Saber	Pool	1344	754 - 1933	1344	1366
Saber	Direct elimination	1600	427 - 2772	1600	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.