Statistics Profile

Victor Burkardt

2008

Fox Chapel Area Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1188	433 - 1942	1188	1188
Épée	Direct elimination	1770	450 - 3089	1770	1770
Foil	Pool	1020	758 - 1281	678	1106
Foil	Direct elimination	1408	829 - 1986	1262	1812

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.