Statistics Profile

Callen Symmank

2012

Twin Cities Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1536	1365 - 1706	814	1536
Foil	Direct elimination	1748	1559 - 1936	1327	1795
Saber	Pool	839	202 - 1475	714	839
Saber	Direct elimination	1444	429 - 2458	1444	1696

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.