Statistics Profile

Kjirsten jorgensen

2009

Twin Cities Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1723	1552 - 1893	1362	1965
Épée	Direct elimination	2049	1852 - 2245	970	2139
Foil	Pool	898	663 - 1132	898	1564
Foil	Direct elimination	1100	639 - 1560	1100	2921
Saber	Pool	2949	1552 - 4345	2949	2949

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.