Statistics Profile

Cynthia Lin

Verified
2010
Hills Fencing Institute

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1719 1554 - 1883 1062 1719
Épée Direct elimination 1790 1614 - 1965 1097 1790
Saber Pool 1031 271 - 1790 905 1031
Saber Direct elimination 1352 220 - 2483 1352 1352

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.