Statistics Profile

Jacqueline Rog

2013

Twin Cities Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	789	447 - 1130	699	1036
Épée	Direct elimination	1153	395 - 1910	1153	1555
Foil	Pool	451	177 - 724	371	977
Foil	Direct elimination	1084	565 - 1602	949	1774

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.