Statistics Profile

Edward Mercure (Tony)

1975

Pioneer Valley Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1122	782 - 1461	1001	1413
Épée	Direct elimination	1096	285 - 1906	1096	1646
Foil	Pool	709	449 - 968	623	1317
Foil	Direct elimination	1522	1083 - 1960	1102	1522
Saber	Pool	1337	1146 - 1527	539	1362
Saber	Direct elimination	1733	1468 - 1997	1281	1958

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.