Statistics Profile

Edward Mercure (Tony)

1975
Pioneer Valley Fencing Academy
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1159 854 - 1463 1001 1413
Épée Direct elimination 1394 749 - 2038 1096 1646
Foil Pool 709 449 - 968 623 1317
Foil Direct elimination 1522 1083 - 1960 1102 1522
Saber Pool 1341 1152 - 1529 539 1362
Saber Direct elimination 1718 1455 - 1980 1281 1958

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.