Statistics Profile

Edward Mercure (Tony)

1975

Pioneer Valley Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1158	853 - 1462	1001	1413
Épée	Direct elimination	1419	772 - 2065	1132	1646
Foil	Pool	717	463 - 970	623	1317
Foil	Direct elimination	1596	1176 - 2015	1102	1596
Saber	Pool	1341	1152 - 1529	539	1362
Saber	Direct elimination	1718	1455 - 1980	1281	1958

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.