Statistics Profile

Edward Mercure (Tony)

1975
Pioneer Valley Fencing Academy
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1241 958 - 1523 1001 1413
Épée Direct elimination 1814 1288 - 2339 1132 1814
Foil Pool 717 463 - 970 623 1317
Foil Direct elimination 1596 1176 - 2015 1102 1596
Saber Pool 1365 1180 - 1549 539 1365
Saber Direct elimination 1696 1441 - 1950 1281 1958

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.