Statistics Profile

Charles Kennedy

2012

Memphis University School Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1446	1022 - 1869	1446	1793
Épée	Direct elimination	1481	666 - 2295	1337	1856
Foil	Pool	2977	1979 - 3974	2977	2977
Foil	Direct elimination	2600	1340 - 3859	2600	2600

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.