Post April Fools Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Davis Fencing Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JAIN Sarthak 1% 7% 31% 49% 13%
2 WELDON Benjamin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 MENEGOLI Lorenzo - - 6% 34% 60%
3 AHMED Saheer - 1% 9% 33% 47% 10%
5 HELGE James R. - - - 3% 28% 69%
6 ULINICH Alex - 1% 11% 56% 30% 2%
7 ZHANG Eric - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
8 WATT Darren 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
9 ZAYDMAN David - - 5% 34% 53% 8%
10 LOONEY Christopher 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
11 CHANG Celine 20% 47% 27% 5% -
12 PRAKASH Hari 2% 16% 40% 33% 8% -
13 MING Nathan 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
14 BARNETT Devin 3% 18% 40% 31% 7% -
15 RICHARDS Andrew 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
16 HEINS Dylan 16% 44% 32% 7% -
17 CHANG Abigail 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
18 BHATT Anisha 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
19 MA Katelyn 11% 41% 36% 11% 1% -
20 ENRILE Erica 6% 36% 48% 9% 1% -
21 ADUG Mathew 14% 48% 32% 6% -
22 STREEBY John 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
23 NUGENT Jack 13% 41% 34% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.