Post April Fools Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Davis Fencing Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JAIN Sarthak 100% 99% 93% 62% 13%
2 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 AHMED Saheer 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 10%
5 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
6 ULINICH Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 33% 2%
7 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
8 WATT Darren 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
9 ZAYDMAN David 100% 100% 100% 95% 61% 8%
10 LOONEY Christopher 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
11 CHANG Celine 100% 80% 33% 6% -
12 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 82% 42% 8% -
13 MING Nathan 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
14 BARNETT Devin 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% -
15 RICHARDS Andrew 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
16 HEINS Dylan 100% 84% 40% 8% -
17 CHANG Abigail 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
18 BHATT Anisha 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
19 MA Katelyn 100% 89% 48% 12% 1% -
20 ENRILE Erica 100% 94% 57% 9% 1% -
21 ADUG Mathew 100% 86% 37% 6% -
22 STREEBY John 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
23 NUGENT Jack 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.