MFA Friday night sanctioned epee

Mixed Épée

Friday, March 25, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
2 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
5 ZMURK Emma M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
6 BARNETT Devin 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
7 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 93% 61% 17% 1%
8 LIN Ashley 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
9 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
10 GU Aidan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
11 SEO Shawn 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
12 CHA Eugenie 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
13 RAJ Shrey 100% 97% 71% 23% 2% -
14 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
15 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 4% -
16 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
17 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
18 RICHARD Silas 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% - -
19 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
20 CHANG Celine A. 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
21 LOGUE Paul 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 2% -
22 CHENG Zijun 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
23 CHIEM Karen 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
24 LOWELL Justin 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
25 LAI Aaron 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
26 SCHOLL Zander 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
27 DUONG Zoey 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
28 ASTLE Stephen 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
29 BRINEN-STOUT Jared P. 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
30 DUONG John 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
31 MA Katelyn 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
32 NASH Jay 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
33 CONTI Braeden 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% -
34 FORDER Jonathon 100% 76% 28% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.