MFA Friday night sanctioned epee

Mixed Épée

Friday, April 29, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
2 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 SARKAR Agniv 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
5 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
6 WONG Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
7 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
8 YEE Johnathan 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
9 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
10 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
11 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
12 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
13 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
14 NG Biwon 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
15 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
16 PRAKASH Hari 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
17 GUPTA Karan 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2%
18 KUO Elvin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 4%
19 RICHARD Silas 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
20 LOUIE Sarah 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
21 FERRER Alison 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
22 SITTER Gregoire 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
23 SRIVASTAVA Arya 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
24 LUO Xiao Ran 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
25 SCHOLL Zander 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
26 KUO Rylan 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
26 CHANG Celine A. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
28 RAJ Shrey 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
29 DUONG Zoey 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
30 GU Aidan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% 1%
31 KUO Michael 100% 98% 62% 19% 2% -
32 CONTI Braeden 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
33 AHMED Rania 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
35 LIN Ashley 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
36 MANSINGH Michael 100% 98% 85% 48% 11% 1% -
37 LAI Aaron 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
38 ASTLE Stephen 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
39 CHIEM Karen 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
40 LOWELL Justin 100% 95% 61% 21% 4% - -
41 DUONG John 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.