The Cascade Clash | Portland SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
2 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 49%
3 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
6 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
7 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
7 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
9 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
9 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
11 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
12 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
13 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
15 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
16 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
17 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
18 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 4%
19 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
20 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 3%
21 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 16%
22 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
23 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 6%
24 KIM Harrison 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
25 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 3%
25 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
27 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
28 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
29 DONG Quintin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
30 PARK Rion 100% 96% 73% 31% 5% - -
31 EDISON Ansel 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
32 LING Eddie 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
33 LI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16% 1%
34 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 96% 74% 26% 3%
35 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 62% 20% 1%
36 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
37 TALASILA Arush 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
38 WU Alistair 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6% -
39 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
40 LIU William 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
41 LE Jacob 100% 95% 66% 20% 2% -
42 WANG Li 100% 98% 70% 25% 4% -
43 TULYAG Azim 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1%
44 HIRAMOTO Satoshi 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
45 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 97% 73% 31% 5% -
46 LU Kevin 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
47 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
48 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
49 LI Richard 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
50 ZHANG Graham 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
51 MEMMOTT Ben 100% 97% 66% 22% 3% -
52 ZHANG Lucas 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
53 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
54 KIM Teo 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
55 UHLIG Cole 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3% -
56 NEICE William 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% - -
57 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
58 PARK David 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
59 PETROV Mikhail 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
60 YANG Charles 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
61 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
62 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
63 DIMOCK Linus 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% - -
64 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
65 YUE Jackson 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
66 PORTER Rory 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
67 CHUN Dashel 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
68 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
69 ZHOU Ryan 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
70 JIANG Yehong 100% 32% 4% - - -
71 REYNOLDS Jordan 100% 81% 34% 6% - -
72 LIANG Ethan 100% 20% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.