THRUST FALL ROC/RYC w/Veterans and Y8

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17%
3 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
5 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
6 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
7 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
8 STEINMETZ John 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
9 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
9 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
11 WU MENGKE 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
12 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
13 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
14 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 3%
15 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
16 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
17 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 NEVILLE James 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% 1%
19 PANDEY Neil 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
20 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
21 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 8%
22 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
23 SHTEYN Mark 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
24 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
25 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
26 SPRANG Nicholas D. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
27 BUCCINO George 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
28 MARGULIES William 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
29 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
30 FISK Ethan 100% 98% 83% 40% 9% 1%
31 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
32 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
33 GRYCIUK Koby 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
34 DEFORD Kevin W. 100% 67% 19% 2% - -
35 LEDERER Justin W. 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
36 MYLEK Peter 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
37 CHENG Kyle 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 7%
38 MOULTON Ian 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
39 LEUNG Andrew K. 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
40 GONG Nanbo 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
41 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
42 CHOU William 100% 71% 22% 3% - -
43 ZHENG Joshua 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
44 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
45 MASSO Anthony 100% 67% 19% 2% - -
46 ZATZ Ben Z. 100% 67% 27% 6% 1% - -
47 CHANG Yufeng 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
48 SUSSMAN Jamie 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
49 BLACKBURN Henry 100% 71% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.