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Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 WANG Joey - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 TAI Edison - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
5 PARK Sangwook - - - 5% 27% 56% 12%
6 DONG Haiyi - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
7 RONG Gordon - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
8 LIU Josh - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
9 LEE Damien - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
10 HUANG Yidong Allen - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
11 HSU Joshua 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
12 AUSTIN Atlas - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
13 FEI Victor - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
14 RAHMAN Ali - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
15 CLAES Thomas - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
16 KIM Alexander 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
17 MULCAHY Sebastian - - 1% 12% 41% 37% 9%
17 AVETISIAN Michael - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
19 WU Steven - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9% 1%
20 RAHMAN Zayd 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
21 WANG aaron 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
22 GUO Woody - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
23 FU Adrian 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
24 RONG Marcus 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
25 BELL Callen - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
26 ENG Kyler - - 2% 12% 37% 39% 10%
27 LIANG Donny - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
28 TANG Zheng 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
29 KIM Remington 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
30 GADHVI Darius 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
31 JIANG Aaron 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
32 WOO Lucas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
33 MAXU Tiger 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
33 DAI Jason 3% 21% 42% 28% 6% 1% -
35 BERTEL Florian 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
36 OBERDERFER Viktor 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
37 LEUNG Dylan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
38 LAW Brady 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
39 WU Nathan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
40 WANG Devin 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
41 YAO Tristan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
42 WU Johnny y. 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
43 MA Houhin 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
44 ABELAR Jacob 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
45 XUE Michael 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
46 JAMES Kaden 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
47 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
48 DU Evan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
49 LI Ryan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
50 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
51 ARMSTRONG Hendry 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
52 HONG Austin 61% 33% 6% - - - -
53 SU Samuel 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
54 LAFKO Sebastian 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
55 KIM Evan 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
56 JAO Aaron 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
57 CHEN Aiden 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
58 HOCHSTEIN Tristan - 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
59 MA kevin 1% 13% 37% 37% 11% 1% -
60 HAN Eric 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
61 CHIEN Ian 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
61 MA Ryan 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
63 PISCITELLO Aleksandr - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
64 WU MiEr 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
65 MARZBANI Zehl 1% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
66 NARAYANUN Advay 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
67 FERRIERE Theo 5% 36% 41% 16% 2% - -
67 SHIH Derek 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1% -
69 LUO Alvin Y. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.