Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 TAI Edison 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
5 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 12%
6 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
7 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 LIU Josh 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
9 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
10 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
11 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
12 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
13 FEI Victor 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
14 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
15 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
16 KIM Alexander 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
17 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 9%
17 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
19 WU Steven 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
20 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
21 WANG aaron 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% - -
22 GUO Woody 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
23 FU Adrian 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
24 RONG Marcus 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
25 BELL Callen 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
26 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 10%
27 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
28 TANG Zheng 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
29 KIM Remington 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
30 GADHVI Darius 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
31 JIANG Aaron 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
32 WOO Lucas 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
33 MAXU Tiger 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
33 DAI Jason 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
35 BERTEL Florian 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
36 OBERDERFER Viktor 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
37 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
38 LAW Brady 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
39 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
40 WANG Devin 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
41 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
42 WU Johnny y. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
43 MA Houhin 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
44 ABELAR Jacob 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
45 XUE Michael 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
46 JAMES Kaden 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
47 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
48 DU Evan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
49 LI Ryan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
50 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
51 ARMSTRONG Hendry 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
52 HONG Austin 100% 39% 6% - - - -
53 SU Samuel 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
54 LAFKO Sebastian 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
55 KIM Evan 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
56 JAO Aaron 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
57 CHEN Aiden 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
58 HOCHSTEIN Tristan 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
59 MA kevin 100% 99% 86% 49% 12% 1% -
60 HAN Eric 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
61 CHIEN Ian 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
61 MA Ryan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
63 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 1%
64 WU MiEr 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
65 MARZBANI Zehl 100% 99% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
66 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
67 FERRIERE Theo 100% 95% 59% 18% 2% - -
67 SHIH Derek 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
69 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.