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Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - - 7% 39% 53%
2 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
3 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 NGUYEN Martin - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
5 DINSAY Kristjan - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
6 YU Jason - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
7 WU Lucas - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 DERRICK Blake - - - 2% 13% 45% 40%
9 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 WONG Evan - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
11 WU Alber Y. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
12 PONS Diego - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
13 YI William - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
14 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 2% 21% 50% 23% 3%
15 PARK Rion - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
16 CHANG Jonathan 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
17 PINCHENG Yao - - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
18 CHAN Joseph 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
19 TULYAG Azim 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
20 ZHOU Ryan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
21 CHUN Dashel 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
22 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
23 ATTIA Aly - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
24 RASMUSSEN Sage - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
25 CHOI Ethan 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 LO Preston - 3% 24% 53% 21%
27 KIM Daniel Y. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
28 GORDON William L. 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
29 BAKER Ethan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
30 LE Jacob H. - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
31 CHOURASIA Ashirvad 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
32 LAM Nicolas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
33 YUE Jackson - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
34 ZHANG Jacob 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
35 UPENDER West 5% 29% 40% 22% 5% - -
36 RYOU Andy - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 10%
37 CHEN Matthew 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
38 UHLIG Cole 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
39 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
40 NISHIHIRA Tyler 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
41 LI Richard 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
42 DENG David 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
43 DULAI Agam 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
44 LI Edison M. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
45 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
46 DANIEL Nikith 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
47 BIELER Mason - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
48 MORTON Joshua - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
49 TAN Pyron 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
50 PARK William - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
51 PETROV Mikhail 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
52 CHANG Nathan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
53 TSOI Spencer 5% 22% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
54 FUKUDA Brando - 2% 14% 35% 36% 11% 1%
55 DHOKTE Neev 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
56 SAH Steven 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
57 DULAI Angad 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
58 BORG Matthew 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
59 ZHANG Raphael 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
60 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
61 SHORTER David Alexander 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
61 PARK David 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
63 ZHONG Maxwell 65% 30% 5% - - - -
64 ONG Nicholas 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
65 ARCARA Evan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
66 MONTGOMERY Georgie 29% 51% 18% 2% -
67 ZHAN Kevin 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
68 LEE Daniel 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
69 FOY Grant 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
70 LIANG Ethan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
71 BAE Eugene 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
72 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
73 HE Bourne 44% 45% 10% 1% -
74 FLANAGAN Miles 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.