Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
2 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
3 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
3 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
5 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
7 WU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
9 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 WONG Evan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
11 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
12 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
13 YI William 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
14 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 98% 77% 26% 3%
15 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
16 CHANG Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
17 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
18 CHAN Joseph 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
19 TULYAG Azim 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
20 ZHOU Ryan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
21 CHUN Dashel 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
22 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
23 ATTIA Aly 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
24 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
25 CHOI Ethan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
26 LO Preston 100% 100% 97% 73% 21%
27 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
28 GORDON William L. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
29 BAKER Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
30 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
31 CHOURASIA Ashirvad 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
32 LAM Nicolas 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
33 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
34 ZHANG Jacob 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
35 UPENDER West 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
36 RYOU Andy 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
37 CHEN Matthew 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
38 UHLIG Cole 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
39 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
40 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
41 LI Richard 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
42 DENG David 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
43 DULAI Agam 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
44 LI Edison M. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
45 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
46 DANIEL Nikith 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
47 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
48 MORTON Joshua 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
49 TAN Pyron 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
50 PARK William 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
51 PETROV Mikhail 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
52 CHANG Nathan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
53 TSOI Spencer 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
54 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12% 1%
55 DHOKTE Neev 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
56 SAH Steven 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
57 DULAI Angad 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
58 BORG Matthew 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
59 ZHANG Raphael 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
60 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
61 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
61 PARK David 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
63 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 35% 5% - - - -
64 ONG Nicholas 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
65 ARCARA Evan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
66 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 71% 20% 2% -
67 ZHAN Kevin 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
68 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
69 FOY Grant 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
70 LIANG Ethan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
71 BAE Eugene 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
72 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
73 HE Bourne 100% 56% 11% 1% -
74 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.