Burton Men's Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Patten Gymnasium, Northwestern University - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 99% 88% 54% 14% 1%
3 ZHU Zimo 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
3 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
5 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
6 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
7 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
9 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
10 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
11 NGUYEN Tate 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% -
12 REINER Julius J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
13 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
14 SILVERS Ari 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% -
15 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
16 SERAFYM Damian 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
17 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
18 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% -
19 KRAJ Pawel 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
20 ALI Adam 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% -
21 ALI Geoffrey A. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
22 TIERNEY Luke 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
23 SONN Rohan 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
24 DUNLOP Richard (Dick) M. 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
25 CASTELLANOS Rene E. 100% 61% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.