April Championship and NAC

Div III Men's Épée

Monday, April 15, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
2 LI Brian X 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
3 TODREAS Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 YAO Shun 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
5 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
6 KAEDING Alexander (Alex) B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
7 DYER Carson C. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
8 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
9 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
9 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
11 XIAO Zherui 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
12 KASTENBERG Leo M. 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
13 WESTMAAS Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
14 LAWLER Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
15 CHU Ian 100% 100% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
16 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
17 SMAY II Joseph E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
18 CHUANG Kenneth H. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
19 RYAN Christopher 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
20 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
21 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
22 RYAN Seth C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
23 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 35%
24 BEITTEL David F. 100% 97% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
25 FONG Joseph M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
26 BURCH Tristan H. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
27 BARAFF David 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
27 RHEA Eric L. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
29 YOUNGS Benjamin 100% 91% 55% 15% 1% -
30 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 90% 53% 15% 1% -
31 PARTE Aidan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
32 KIM Dan 100% 81% 31% 3% - - -
33 SCHWARY Irv 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
34 SATTERWHITE William W. 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
35 CAAMANO Leo P. 100% 35% 6% - - - -
36 DYER CJ 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
37 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 97% 67% 26% 5% - -
38 POMPIAN Mark 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
38 WEBER Dick 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
40 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
41 GRAVIS Martin V. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.