Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
2 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
3 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
5 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
6 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
7 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
9 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
10 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
11 JITTAN daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
12 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
13 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
14 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 11%
15 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
16 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
17 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
19 DRESSEL Jet 100% 94% 68% 28% 4% -
20 LI Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
21 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 5% -
22 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
23 GAO William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
24 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
25 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20% 2%
26 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
27 WANG Winston 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
28 TANG August L. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
29 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
30 TANG Albert 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
31 LEVY Jacob 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
32 CHOI JIAN 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 1%
33 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
34 PAN Henry 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
35 YAP Nathan 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
36 SONG Austin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8% 1%
37 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 90% 53% 14% 1%
38 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
39 LI Lianhan 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
40 JIANG Bowang 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
41 MOE Annan 100% 89% 36% 6% - -
42 ZHANG Alex 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
43 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 91% 43% 10% 1% - -
44 BATRA Dev 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% - -
45 CAFFAREY Luke 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
46 SMOLICH Marat 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
47 LEE Ethan 100% 80% 34% 6% - - -
48 DUSZA Zachery 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
49 KIM Donghyeok 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
50 CHEN Zixuan 100% 28% 3% - - - -
51 KRAMER Ryan 100% 29% 3% - - -
52 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
53 LARSON Winston 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.