South Coast RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, September 23, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAN Beichen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 LEE Chun Po 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 ZHANG Nathan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
5 AYABINA John 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
6 CHOI San 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
7 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
8 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
9 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
10 DAO Alexander 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
11 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
12 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
13 JONES Aiden 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
14 CHEN Bailey 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
15 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
16 LIU Yikun 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
17 MING Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
18 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
19 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
20 BARNETT Devin 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
21 ANDERSON Kai 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
22 BURLING Trenor 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
23 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
24 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
25 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
26 LEE Richard U. 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
27 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
28 YANG Joshua 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
29 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
30 MIAO KUNQI 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
31 FILONOV Andrei 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
32 LI zerong 100% 50% 12% 2% - -
33 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
34 MARTIN Charles 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
35 COHEN Joshua 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
36 GENER Alejandro 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
37 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
38 SHEN Jiayi 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.