Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI Aedin - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
2 THAKUR Om S. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 AYALA Jaime - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
3 O'HARROW Tristan C. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
5 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
6 NABAVI Matthew R. - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
7 CHESNEY Aiden R. 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
8 WANG justin 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
9 MAHESH Tarun - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
10 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
11 FENG Du - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
12 TORRES Gianni - 4% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
13 BEALS Alden 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
14 HEKMAT Sina R. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
15 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
16 MELCHER Charles 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
17 JENNINGS Adin - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
18 DUBINSKY Scott - - 2% 16% 48% 33%
19 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
20 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
21 PAUL Max A. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
22 CHEN Jun Ho - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
23 LIU Jeremiah W. 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
24 CHU Brandon A. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
25 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
26 XIE Brandon - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
27 MCCALL Aidan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
28 JIANG ryan - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
29 GULLO Kenji Y. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
30 GRAYSON Joshua 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
31 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 DORASZELSKI Mark 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 PALLADINO Ben T. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
34 BYARS John 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
35 STELTENKAMP Neal 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
36 PETROV Niki A. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
37 RUSSELL Edward - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
37 CHOUDHARY Grisham - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
39 WARD Carrington R. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
40 HU Robert J. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
41 CHOU Benson 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
42 MCWILLIAMS Miles 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
43 LAPP Oliver 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
44 HONG James 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
45 REDDY Arya 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
46 JACKSON Nicholas 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% -
47 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
48 PEDERSEN Christopher C. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
49 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
50 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
51 VINE Ross 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
52 ALI Adam - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
53 LAI Boden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
54 LIN Zizhen 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
55 HANSARD Jess 3% 19% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
56 BANG Abraham 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
57 OTTO Nathaniel B. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
58 URQUHART Grant 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
59 HO Ivan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
60 RICE Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
61 VAN HOESEN Joshua 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
62 SPRINGER Elijah 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
63 WARD Kofi 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
64 BUISINE Aurelien 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
65 TARDIFF Seth 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
66 LI Ray 35% 46% 17% 3% - - -
67 HOLLIS Sean 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
68 WOLFORD Benjamin 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.