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Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 BARTEL Jacob L. - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
3 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
5 ORVANANOS Jorge - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
6 KLOTZ Isaiah - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
7 LI Aaron - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
8 WU Michael 4% 22% 41% 28% 6%
9 MILLER Aidan A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
10 YOON Dylan - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
11 SANCHEZ Leon D. - 1% 6% 23% 44% 27%
12 GREENLEAF Paul 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
13 MENG Zhaoyi - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
14 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
15 LI Arvin - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
16 BOUSSY Luciano 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
17 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
18 DAVIDSON Elliot - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
19 LI Ayren - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
20 WUJASTYK Leon - - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
21 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 4% 24% 48% 22% 2%
22 YAO Bradley - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
23 POPE Alexander 2% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
24 PLASTARAS Trey - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
25 BISHOP Henry 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
26 LIGOS Alex M. - 1% 10% 37% 45% 7%
27 PITERBARG Maxim - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
28 HUANG Jonathan - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
29 BOISLARD Adam J. 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
30 BUCHAS James - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
31 HOLCOMB Cedric 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
32 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 MATSAKH Philip - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
34 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
35 AMRANI David 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
36 XU Ethan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
37 TANG xianchi 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
38 LEE Brendan - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
39 REZA Farazi 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
40 LI Toby 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
41 HARRIS Noah - 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
42 GUERTIN Matthew B. 4% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
43 GLEBA Nico 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1%
44 RNO Kyler 5% 32% 41% 19% 3% -
45 MACSWEENEY Jack 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
46 DJONOUMA Toyohm 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
46 LEUNG Jin 3% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
48 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 20% 46% 28% 5% - -
49 ABANILLA Luke 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
50 LOZADA Gabriel G. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
50 MCQUIDE elliot 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
52 PETERSON Dale - 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
53 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
54 CANAPARI Charles 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
55 WUN Jonathan 34% 43% 19% 3% -
56 HAYLON Caleb 40% 45% 14% 2% - -
57 WILBERT Matt - < 1% 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
58 SULLIVAN Redmond 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
59 HOLLIS Sean 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
60 TRAUB William 18% 60% 19% 2% - - -
61 OLLARI John W. 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
62 DHOTE Meetansh 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
63 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 13% 39% 35% 12% 1%
64 SOLOPOULOS James 62% 32% 6% - - -
65 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 4% 27% 45% 21% 3% -
66 COFFIN Carleton 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
67 GROTH Caleb 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
68 MARSHALL Henry 70% 28% 2% - - - -
69 SAMUEL Michael 7% 37% 38% 15% 3% - -
69 MANZON Antonio 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
71 LENNON Nicholas 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
72 RUSSO Maxwell 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.