Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
3 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
5 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
6 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
7 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
8 WU Michael 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
9 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
10 YOON Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
11 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
12 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
13 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
14 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
15 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
16 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
17 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
18 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
19 LI Ayren 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
20 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
21 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 95% 71% 23% 2%
22 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
23 POPE Alexander 100% 98% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
24 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
25 BISHOP Henry 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
26 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 7%
27 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
28 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
29 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
30 BUCHAS James 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 41% 9%
31 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
32 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
34 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
35 AMRANI David 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
36 XU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
37 TANG xianchi 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
38 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
39 REZA Farazi 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
40 LI Toby 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
41 HARRIS Noah 100% 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
42 GUERTIN Matthew B. 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
43 GLEBA Nico 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
44 RNO Kyler 100% 95% 63% 22% 3% -
45 MACSWEENEY Jack 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
46 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
46 LEUNG Jin 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
48 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
49 ABANILLA Luke 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
50 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
50 MCQUIDE elliot 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
52 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
53 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% - -
54 CANAPARI Charles 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
55 WUN Jonathan 100% 66% 22% 4% -
56 HAYLON Caleb 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
57 WILBERT Matt 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
58 SULLIVAN Redmond 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
59 HOLLIS Sean 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
60 TRAUB William 100% 82% 22% 2% - - -
61 OLLARI John W. 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
62 DHOTE Meetansh 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
63 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 87% 48% 13% 1%
64 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 38% 6% - - -
65 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 96% 69% 24% 3% -
66 COFFIN Carleton 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
67 GROTH Caleb 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
68 MARSHALL Henry 100% 30% 2% - - - -
69 SAMUEL Michael 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
69 MANZON Antonio 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
71 LENNON Nicholas 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
72 RUSSO Maxwell 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.