Colorado Cup #1

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
2 MILLER Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 42%
3 CARRIER Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
5 ALTMAN Jeff 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
6 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
7 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
8 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
9 TOLLEFSEN Zachary 100% 99% 87% 47% 11% 1%
10 CHOI Kaiden 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 2%
11 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 9%
12 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
13 ANDERSON Claire 100% 76% 31% 6% -
13 HARR Carver 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
15 LEEDER Elizabeth 100% 100% 94% 61% 18% 2%
16 PEARSON Heila 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
17 KENT David 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
18 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 95% 64% 20% 1% -
19 .BINCZYK Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
20 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
21 PETERSON Matthew 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1%
22 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 85% 46% 8%
23 ERKENBECK Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 16%
24 WELCH Bryant 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1%
25 GAMMILL Luke 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
27 FUNSTON Lauren 100% 99% 87% 48% 9% 1%
28 DANIS Blake 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 7%
29 SHULL Marc 100% 99% 93% 66% 21% 1%
30 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 76% 25% 3% - -
31 RODRIGUES Nicholas 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
32 MCDONALD Connor 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% -
33 WANG Zoe 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
34 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
35 LUTTON Tom 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
36 PEARSON Arwa 100% 40% 6% - - -
36 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
38 HANEY Kim 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
39 FOX Alexander 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
40 ANDERSON Donald 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
41 SZABO Oliver 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
42 SKUBIC Wyatt 100% 87% 49% 12% 1% -
44 COLLINS Cavan 100% 90% 58% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.