Jersey Clash RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, October 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RUSADZE Nickolas	-	-	-	-	1%	12%	88%
2	TAHOUN Mostafa	-	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	16%
3	LEE Jonah	-	-	4%	17%	34%	33%	12%
3	KNIZHNIK David	-	-	-	2%	15%	42%	40%
5	TOLBA Abdelrahman	-	-	-	2%	25%	73%
6	LI Arvin	-	-	2%	12%	34%	39%	13%
7	PLASTARAS Trey	-	-	3%	18%	42%	34%	2%
8	MATSAKH Philip	-	-	7%	36%	48%	8%
9	SONG Bryan	-	-	2%	16%	48%	34%
10	ZHEN Ethan	-	-	3%	13%	30%	36%	17%
11	SRINIVASAN Vedant	-	3%	17%	38%	33%	9%	-
12	KALIPERSAD Neil A.	-	2%	22%	49%	24%	2%
13	BADLANI Dev	-	-	2%	17%	48%	33%
14	SONG Noel	-	2%	14%	33%	33%	14%	2%
15	HE Xiangrui	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	28%
16	LIU Ryan	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
17	WANG Brian	7%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%
18	ZHAO Adam	-	3%	13%	29%	33%	18%	4%
19	HU Alan	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	1%
20	RNO Kyler	1%	11%	29%	34%	20%	5%	1%
21	ZENG Rick	1%	13%	35%	34%	14%	2%	-
22	AKYAMAC Bora	-	3%	19%	39%	30%	8%	-
23	LEE Eugene	1%	9%	26%	33%	22%	7%	1%
24	ARCE Andrew W.	10%	37%	36%	14%	3%	-	-
25	TRUBETSKI David	3%	16%	34%	32%	14%	2%
26	TANG Terry	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
27	SZE Benjamin	11%	39%	37%	12%	1%	-
28	JURMAN Therin	6%	28%	42%	21%	3%	-
29	KOVACS Wyatt	-	1%	10%	30%	38%	18%	3%
30	RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad	-	3%	15%	33%	32%	15%	3%
31	TJON Calum	6%	28%	38%	21%	6%	1%	-
32	NICOLSON William	43%	41%	13%	2%	-	-	-
33	ZHUANG Chuanxuan	1%	11%	48%	34%	7%	-
34	WANG Rory	1%	10%	34%	37%	16%	2%	-
35	GLEBA Nico	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%	-
36	SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad	41%	42%	14%	2%	-	-
37	YU Stephen	23%	40%	27%	9%	1%	-
38	PARK Joseph	1%	11%	35%	40%	12%	1%
39	BAI Brian	30%	57%	12%	1%	-	-
40	PEZY Merlin	-	2%	11%	29%	35%	19%	4%
41	SHANNON Jack	19%	47%	27%	6%	1%	-	-
42	YU Alan	2%	15%	33%	32%	14%	3%	-
43	VALENTINE David	47%	41%	10%	1%	-	-	-
44	LAM Anthony	54%	40%	5%	-	-	-
45	BANKA Keshav	42%	40%	15%	3%	-	-	-
46	LENNON Nicholas	47%	40%	12%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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